№ |
Scenarios |
The main characteristics of the scenario |
1 |
Baseline |
- GDP growth at 1.1% in 2017 and 1.8% in 2018.- Lifting of sanctions in 2018.- Mid-investment activity of Russian companies.- Low possibility to attract foreign investment.- Reducing energy consumption in the implementation of the program of import substitution through the expansion of investment opportunities in companies. |
2 |
Optimistic |
- GDP growth of 2% in 2017 and in 2018.- Lifting of sanctions in 2017.- High investment activity of Russian companies.- Middle opportunity to attract foreign investment.- A significant reduction in energy consumption while creating a favorable investment climate. |
3 |
Pessimistic |
- GDP growth of 0.51% in 2017 and 1.7% in 2018.- Lifting of sanctions in 2018- Low investment activity of Russian companies, major investment by the state program of import substitution.- Low possibility to attract foreign investment.- Reducing energy consumption in the implementation of the import substitution program |